SAVE it for a rainy day but he who hesitates is lost.
A stitch in time saves nine, however fools rush in where
angels fear to tread.
Wise sayings all, except for one tiny detail. They contradict one another completely and are therefore utterly useless.
Truth is, there is only one type of perfect wisdom. It is
called ‘‘wisdom after the fact’’.
You can adopt all the brilliant strategies you like but, in any game based on probability and chance — such as AFL dream team (and real life) — you cannot predict all outcomes. Play often enough and eventually you will lose, it’s a statistical fact.
Victory is about reducing that probability of defeat not
eliminating it entirely, and having contingencies for when probability kicks you a mongrel punt or a floater instead of the end-over-end drop punt you’d planned on.
Or when a team mate steps over the interchange line
when you’re in the action of kicking it — just ask Cyril
Rioli.
The best dream teams do that. Mediocre ones like The
Gavernators try to.
After round 17, dream team coaches would want to
have their ‘‘best team’’ in place, with just a few trades
left to cover injury and sudden drop in form.
Then along comes a week when your high priced assets
are quiet, your mid-priced players fail, and your cheapies (sadly) perform to expectation. If that has happened to you, then remember, it happens to the best coaches too.
Of the top 30 sides this year in the entire AFL dream team competition of 319,891 teams, six scored 2050 points or less last weekend. Mike’s Magic, the 28th best team in all of dream teamdom, scored 1992.
Meanwhile, the 72,789th best team scored 2368.
It is the business end of the season, with finals places up for grabs. Weaknesses in a dream team need to be
fixed urgently to avoid missing the September (or in dream team’s case, August) action.
A one-off, is a one-off, though. A poor score in a vital match does not mean it’s all over. It doesn’t mean
hacking previously reliable players from your team in a
desperate attempt to turn around one poor performance.
By all means, after a particularly bad round, offload
guys who are consistently scoring below 60 points or
are under an injury cloud.
But don’t throw the baby out with the bath water, because a rolling stone gathers no moss. Now there’s some wisdom for ya.
THE GAVENATORS
TRADES
IN: Dean Brogan (Port Adelaide) $278,500
OUT: Nic Naitanui (West Coast) $220,800
DEFENDERS
Bre ndan Goddard (St Kilda) $459,500 (c)
Heath Shaw (Collingwood) $313,200
Luke Hodge (Hawthorn) $417,900
Heath Scotland (Carlton) $361,400
Andrew Carrazzo (Carlton) $311,800
Bradley Sheppard (West Coast) $231,500
Dylan Roberton (Fremantle) $210,500
Emerg: Ben Nason (Richmond) $204,700
Reserve: Phil Davis (Adelaide) $180,900
MIDFIELD
Gary Ablett (Geelong) $430,900
Joel Selwood (Geelong) $447,600 (vc)
Sam Mitchell (Hawthorn) $412,600
Tom Scully (Melbourne) $303,500
Dustin Martin (Richmond) $318,400
Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) $434,400
Emerg: Jack Trengove (Melbourne) $323,600
Reserve: Jordan Gysberts (Melbourne) $160,900
RUCKS
Aaron Sandilands (Fremantle) $417,200
Dean Brogan (Port Adelaide) $278,500
Reserve: Robert Warnock (Carlton) $166,500
Reserve: Jordan Roughead (Western Bulldogs)
$153,300
FORWARD S:
Alan Didak (Collingwood) $398,500
Lance Franklin (Hawthorn) $416,000
Jack Riewoldt (Richmond) $354,600
Shaun Higgins (Western Bulldogs) $316,800
James Podsiadly (Geelong) $296,100
Barry Hall (Western Bulldogs) $324,800
Emerg: Matthew Jaensch (Adelaide Crows) $208,100
Reserve: Jack Watts (Melbourne) $193,100
TRADES LEFT: 3
ROOM IN SALARY
CAP: $34,300